Values, Bayesianism & scientific practice
Whether applied Bayesian inference can avoid inductive risk, where values enter scientific practice, and whether Bayesianism can remain value-free in the relevant sense.
PhD candidate in Philosophy · University of Pennsylvania
Researcher in philosophy of science, statistics, and sports analytics.
I study how values, institutions, and modeling choices shape scientific inference—and build statistical models for concrete problems in sports, public health, and scientific practice.
Research Program
Scientific integrity & institutional design
How institutions police plagiarism, p-hacking, and other academic misconduct—and how enforcement can protect inquiry without allowing accusations to be weaponized against scholars because of identity or political viewpoint.
Applied sports & health modeling
Matchup-adjusted ratings, expected-outcome models, and public-health research where prediction, interpretation, and decision-making must work together.
Flagship Statistics & Analytics Projects
FAIR xwOBA
A public, player-trait-free baseball model that predicts the value of a batted ball, validates it across rolling held-out MLB seasons, and uses residuals to study Sprint Speed.
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Opponent-Adjusted Evaluation of NFL Pass Blocking and Pass Rushing Performance
Public research on interpretable blocker and rusher ratings built from sparse, opponent-dependent tracking interactions.
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Sparse Controls in Spatial Epidemiology
An M.A. thesis on high-dimensional confounding, unstable county mortality rates, and residual spatial dependence.
Read the case study →Places and people
A wider frame.
Away from the desk, I follow the NFL, college football, and baseball; cook at home and have explored more than 200 Philadelphia restaurants; track prediction markets; and bring an almost comically experimental mindset to blind tastings from my American whiskey collection.
Current work
Research grounded in uncertainty.
I am a PhD candidate in Philosophy and earned an M.A. in Statistics & Data Science at Penn. I welcome conversations that cross disciplinary boundaries while staying grounded in concrete problems.